RecoupLedger

Imports game sales from Steam, Apple, Google, and itch.io to automate revenue-share waterfalls, advance recoupment tracking, and contributor statements for indie studios and small publishers; $99–$299/mo SaaS. · Game Studio Finance

STOP DEAD SLOW FULL AHEAD
DEAD SLOW · CAUTIOUS
5.6 ShipScore / 10

Productized SaaS is the strongest point; unproven demand in a small niche is weakest.

Condition: At least 5 small publishers or studios managing advances must confirm they would pay $99+/mo to replace spreadsheet waterfalls.

Part I — The Verdict what the instruments read
01 — The ShipScore breakdown
Control
6
Four sales sources plus CSV fallback; no single store can fully cut access.
Entry barriers
5
No tracked game-recoupment rival; the moat is connector depth and contract-logic trust.
Need
5
Unproven: no Reddit signals, near-zero X chatter, and tracked rivals are unrelated.
Time-freedom
7
Automated statements scale, but onboarding custom deal terms adds manual work.
Scale
5
Global, but limited to indie studios and publishers with rev-share deals.
What the five commandments measure
C — ControlDo you own the customer, or does a gatekeeper stand between you and revenue?
E — EntryHow hard is this to copy once it works? A rival's existence isn't the question — the durability of their advantage is.
N — NeedIs demand proven with money rather than vibes?
T — TimeCan income detach from your hours, or did you buy yourself a job?
S — ScaleHow far does it reach without linear cost?

Scored on the evidence below, against CENTS as we've adapted it plus a Buffett-style moat reading of every rival — the same referee for every idea, including the ones we generate ourselves. The verdict follows the arithmetic: we never relabel a score to make it read better, and the weakest commandment is always named. The exact rubric stays in-house so the scale can't be written for.

02 — The pace test — $1M/yr

At $149/mo (assumed category price), you need 560 subscribers for a $1M/yr pace.

Nearest tracked rivals on that curve:

Cryptobytez Ultimate Trading Discord
$5k 6%
Blabla
$10k 12%
Part II — The Evidence the receipts, good and bad
03 — Rival scan — corpus tracks 2 similar
Cryptobytez Ultimate Trading Discordverified MRR $5k (trustmrr)
Blablaverified MRR $10k (trustmrr)
04 — Demand evidence
05 — Risks
06 — Kill switches — what kills this with one decision
Part III — The Plan if you insist on proceeding
07 — What this scan can't tell you

Scores judge the market and business model — not your ability to execute. Verified MRR = independently tracked revenue; reviews/upvotes = platform-reported. Judged 2026-10-04.

08 — The wedge & the next step

Small indie publishers juggling 5-30 titles with advances, who need contributor statements without hiring royalty accountants.

Cheapest next step: DM 20 indie publishers on Discord or LinkedIn offering to convert one title's spreadsheet into an automated statement, and pre-sell at $149/mo.

Not quite it? Spin the model

Business-model variations of this idea, engineered to beat 5.6 — different vertical, audience, model, or wedge. Same harsh scale. Pro feature.

One evidence-backed gap a day, free

Close — but conditional. Every morning the engine files one mined gap, scored on the same harsh scale as this one. Free at 7am AEST, unedited.

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ShipScore is scored on a rubric inspired by the CENTS framework by MJ DeMarco (The Millionaire Fastlane · UNSCRIPTED). Will It Ship is not affiliated with or endorsed by MJ DeMarco.
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